Yankees vs Red Sox odds, line, prediction: 2022 MLB picks, April 9 best bets from proven computer model

The AL East’s biggest rivals have had a late but spirited start to the MLB season, and now the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox will face off again on Saturday afternoon. Both teams started strong in Friday’s opener at Yankee Stadium. They combined five runs in the first inning, but pitchers settled and the teams traded runs for extra innings. The Yankees tied Boston’s run in the 10th, then got a Josh Donaldson single in the bottom of the 11th for a 6-5 victory. It was New York’s first opening day victory since 1957. New York won 10 of 19 regular season games last season, including the last six, but the Red Sox won the most important meeting , winning the AL Wild- Card Game 6-2. Both teams are expected to go right-handed on the mound Saturday, with Boston expected to start Nick Pivetta and the Yankees countering with Luis Severino.

The first pitch in New York is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. New York is listed as a -170 favorite ($170 risk to win $100) on the money line in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Red Sox vs. Yankees odds, while over-under for total runs scored is new. Before making any Yankees vs. Red Sox picks, you should check out the latest MLB predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.

This model, which simulates each game 10,000 times, enters the 2022 MLB season with a record of 209-178 on top MLB picks in 2021, fetching more than $700 per $100 players. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now the model has locked onto the Yankees vs. the Red Sox, and has just locked in its MLB picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are the MLB odds and trends for the Red Sox vs. the Yankees:

  • Red Sox vs. Yankees money line: Boston +150, New York -170
  • Red Sox vs. Yankees over-under: 9 points
  • BOS: Nick Pivetta has 609 strikeouts in 561⅓ career innings over six seasons
  • NYY: Luis Severino totaled 450 strikeouts in his last two full seasons (2017-18)

Featured Game | New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Why you should support the Yankees

New York is full of pop like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Anthony Rizzo and Donaldson. Rizzo hit a two-run homer in the first inning Friday, and Stanton added a solo shot in the fourth. Judge hit 39 homers and a .916 OPS last season, and Stanton hit 35 long fly as he was able to stay healthy. Gallo had 38 between the Rangers and Yankees, and he led the AL in walks (111) but had an MLB-high 213 strikeouts. The Yankees could have their chances against Pivetta, who can miss a lot of bats but also make a lot of mistakes.

Second baseman DJ LeMahieu hit .268 and had 24 doubles last season, and he went 2-for-5 with a run and an RBI on Friday. Donaldson, who was acquired from the Twins last month, also stayed healthy most of last season and hit 26 home runs, and he has a career OPS of .872. Severino was expected to be a long-term ace for the Yankees before he needed Tommy John surgery, but he looks set to return to form. He allowed three hits and a run while striking out nine of five relief appearances last season, the only run against Boston in the Wild-Card game.

Why you should support the Red Sox

Boston showed on Friday that it never got out of a game with the Yankees. He held the lead three times, getting a two-run homer from Rafael Devers in the first and also taking the lead in the 10th. He won seven straight meetings with the Yankees early last season, and he finished fourth in the AL with 829 points scored while the Yankees were 10th (711). Devers hit 38 homers, with 113 RBIs and an OPS of .847 last season, with five home runs and 18 RBIs in 19 games against New York. Xander Bogaerts, who tweaked a hamstring on Friday, hit .295 in 2021.

The addition of Trevor Story should also pay dividends, and he went 0 for 5 on Friday, so he should be due. Severino could be off to a shaky start after allowing nine hits and seven runs while walking five in just 7⅔ innings over three spring starts. Pivetta had a 3.42 ERA and struck out 22 in 15⅔ in his four outings. The 6-foot-5 right-hander went 9-8 with a 4.53 ERA last season, and was much better in road games. He made 15 of 30 starts on the road and he had a 3.75 ERA, compared to 5.40 at home. He allowed seven of his 24 homers in away games.

How to make choices between the Red Sox and the Yankees

SportsLine’s model looks at total runs, as the simulation suggests teams will combine for more than 10.5 runs. It also says that one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the Yankees vs. Red Sox model pick on SportsLine.

So who wins the Yankees against the Red Sox on Saturday? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which way to jump for the Red Sox against the Yankees, all from the advanced model who is 209-178 on his top-rated MLB picks last season, and find out.

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