2022 NFL Draft odds for the top five picks: Here’s how bettors see the top picks playing out

We’re about two weeks away from the 2022 NFL Draft, and it’s time to start thinking about where you’ll put your money. The NFL Draft is quickly becoming something of a betting holiday, as fans can get some quick action midway through the offseason. There are Over/Unders for a player’s draft position, odds for which player at which position will be selected first, and then of course, odds for who will be drafted with the #1 overall pick.

We’ve been tracking the odds for the No. 1 overall pick for the past two months, but now Caesars Sportsbook has released what’s practically a fictionalized mini draft. Caesars has odds on which players will be selected with the No. 1, No. 2, No. 3, and No. 4 overall picks, as well as overall odds for a player to be one of the top five picks.

Below, we’ll explain how Caesars odds predict the start of the draft, as well as the odds for the top five players to go to that specific pick.

Pick No. 1 (Jaguars): Michigan DE Aidan Hutchinson (-300)

Georgia DL Travon Walker (+350)
NC State OL Ikem Ekwonu (+1200)
Alabama OL Evan Neal (+1200)
Oregon OF Kayvon Thibodeaux (+2500)
Freedom QB Malik Willis (+2500)

Hutchinson has been the heavy favorite to be selected No. 1 overall for weeks now. There’s not much reason to place a bet on him at -300 unless you can bet him with something else, but Walker could be an intriguing bet if you’re feeling daring.

Dane Brugler of The Athletic reported last month that Walker was “a realistic possibility” of skipping Hutchinson and landing in Jacksonville. Walker topped the NFL Scouting Combine as his 4.51 40-yard sprint time was the fastest for a player weighing at least 270 pounds since 1999, per PFF. Walker was 6-foot-5 and 272 pounds.

Pick No. 2 (Lions): Georgia DL Travon Walker (+230)

Michigan DE Aidan Hutchinson (+250)
Liberty QB Malik Willis (+450)
Oregon BY Kayvon Thibodeaux (+500)
Notre Dame S Kyle Hamilton (+750)

It’s a joke that’s gotten old quickly for Lions fans, but Dan Campbell loves his kneecap biters. He also recently said he wants a “Day 1 starter” with the No. 2 overall pick – and while some see that as a meaningless comment, to me it says Detroit isn’t considering can. -not be a quarterback with his first take. Hutchinson is likely a lock to go to No. 2 overall if the Jaguars pass him, but that doesn’t seem likely. Walker at more money seems like a solid bet, but don’t forget Thibodeaux at +500.

Choice n°3 (Texans): NC State OL Ikem Ekwonu (+180)

Alabama OL Evan Neal (+280)
Georgia DL Travon Walker (+550)
Notre Dame S Kyle Hamilton (+750)
Oregon BY Kayvon Thibodeaux (+900)
Cincinnati CB Ahmad Gardner (+900)

Ekwonu is undoubtedly one of the best players in this draft, but I wonder if Neal at +280 would be a better bet there.

Pick No. 4 (Jets): Oregon DE Kayvon Thibodeaux (+225)

Cincinnati BC Ahmad Gardner (+350)
Georgia DL Travon Walker (+400)
Florida State OF Jermaine Johnson II (+430)
Notre Dame S Kyle Hamilton (+1000)
Alabama OL Evan Neal (+1000)
NC State OL Ikem Ekwonu (+1000)

Last year, Robert Saleh used his first four picks with the Jets on the offensive side of the ball, so I’m confident No. 4 overall will be a defensive player. Thibodeaux and Walker should be favorites here in my mind, and I can take flyers on both. “Sauce” Gardner is a player many laugh at the Jets, but with their second pick at No. 10 overall as opposed to this one.

Chances of being in the top five picks

DL Travon Walker (-500)
OL Ikem Ekwonu (-300)
OL Evan Neal (-275)
BY Kayvon Thibodeaux (-125)
CB Ahmad Gardner (+130)
S Kyle Hamilton (+220)
OL Charles Cross (+250)
QB Malik Willis (+250)
OF Jermaine Johnson II (+325)
QB Kenny Pickett (+700)
WR Garrett wilson (+750)
WR Drake London (+750)
CB Derek Stingley Jr. (+1500)

The only number I like in the list above should be Thibodeaux at -125. Three of our five NFL draft experts put it in the top five of their most recent fictional drafts, and so do I. One player I could throw a few bucks at to get into the top five is Stingley Jr. at +1500. He is considered one of the best players in the draft, but he has some injury problems. Still, maybe the Jets or New York Giants at No. 5 overall will surprise us.

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